https://theracelab.co.uk/tags/analysis/Recent content in Analysis on The Race LabHugoen-gbThu, 20 Feb 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://theracelab.co.uk/cheltenham/10-years-cheltenham-data/Thu, 20 Feb 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://theracelab.co.uk/cheltenham/10-years-cheltenham-data/<h1 id="10-years-of-cheltenham-festival-data-what-the-numbers-really-tell-us">10 Years of Cheltenham Festival Data: What the Numbers Really Tell Us</h1> <p>We&rsquo;ve crunched a decade of Cheltenham Festival results — every race from 2016 to 2025 — to find the patterns that matter. Not punditry. Not hunches. Just data.</p> <p>Here&rsquo;s what 425 races and thousands of runners actually tell us.</p> <hr> <h2 id="favourite-win-rate-better-than-you-think">Favourite Win Rate: Better Than You Think</h2> <p>The festival&rsquo;s reputation for shocks is partly myth. Over ten years, <strong>favourites won 30.6% of all races</strong> — meaning roughly one in three races is won by the market leader.</p>